南大西洋副热带偶极子的统计特征及其与ENSO的关系
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国家自然科学基金项目(41975087;U2242212;41975085;42275160)


Statistical characteristics of the South Atlantic Subtropical Dipole and its relationship with ENSO events
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    摘要:

    利用逐月Hadley Center海表面温度、NCEP/NCAR海表面风场和海平面气压等资料,探讨了南大西洋副热带海表面温度的特征及其与ENSO(El Niño-Southern Oscillation)的关系。结果表明:1)在北半球冬季,南大西洋副热带海表面温度异常的EOF(empirical orthogonal function)第一模态(解释方差为27.82%)呈现东北-西南的反位相分布,即南大西洋副热带偶极子(South Atlantic Subtropical Dipole,SASD);其形成主要是由于南大西洋副热带高压变化引起了表面风的变化,表面风的变化引发了潜热通量东北-西南异常反位相分布,从而导致了海温的变化。2)SASD存在明显的季节锁相特征:9—11月SASD模态开始发生发展,12月—次年2月成熟并达到峰值,次年3—5月减弱。3)1960—2022年SASD主要以4~6 a的时间尺度发生周期变化。4)SASD与ENSO存在较强的相关关系,两者的相关系数达0.55,其中正、负SASD分别与厄尔尼诺、拉尼娜事件相对应。与El Niño同时发生的正SASD事件对El Niño的强度和范围有增强和扩大的作用,且正SASD与El Niño事件同时发生会激发次年La Niña事件发生,La Niña事件反过来又能加强下一年负SASD事件的强度。

    Abstract:

    The Atlantic ocean spans a wide range of latitudes and exhibit numerous important climate phenomena across multiple time scales.Regarding sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the Atlantic,most previous studies have focused on the North Atlantic and tropical Atlantic,with relatively less attention given to the South Atlantic.Research has demonstrated inverse-phase sea surface temperature patterns in the eastern and southwestern parts of the Indian Ocean,a phenomenon defined as the Southern Indian Ocean Dipole (SIOD).Subsequently,studies analyzing sea surface temperature variability in the South Atlantic using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and singular value decomposition (SVD) identified dipole-like spatial structures similar to those observed in the South Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean.The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO),the most prominent mode of interannual climate variability,is closely related to the sea surface temperature variations across the entire South Atlantic.Exploring the South Atlantic Subtropical Dipole (SASD) and its specific correlation with ENSO can enhance our understanding of climate variability and improve the prediction of both ENSO and SASD events.Using monthly sea surface temperature data from the Hadley Center,as well as monthly sea surface wind data,sea level pressure data and latent heat flux data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis for the period 1960 to 2022.This study examine the characteristics of subtropical sea surface temperature variability in the South Atlantic and its relationship with ENSO.The results show that:1) During the Northern Hemisphere winter,EOF analysis of the subtropical SSTA in the South Atlantic Ocean reveals a northeast-southwest dipole like pattern,explaining 27.82% of the total variance.This phenomenon,termed the SASD,primarily arises due to the variability in sea surface wind associated with fluctuations in the South Atlantic subtropical high.These wind anomalies induce a northeast-southwest dipole pattern in latent heat flux anomalies,which subsequently drives sea surface temperature (SST) variability.2) Composite analysis of SST anomalies indicates that SASD exhibits strong seasonal phase-locking.It typically develops from September to November (SON),and reaches its peak during December to February (DJF),and weakens from March to May (MAM).3) Wavelet analysis shows that SASD variability is dominated by periodic fluctuations on a 4—6 years timescale over the period 1960 to 2022.4) SASD is significantly correlation with ENSO,with a correlation coefficient of 0.55.Positive (negative) SASD events are generally correspond to El Niño (La Niña) events.Furthermore,the co-occurrence of positive SASD and El Niño enhances the intensity and spatial extent of El Niño events.Additionally,when positive SASD and El Niño occurs simultaneously,they tend to trigger La Niña events the following year.Conversely,La Niña also can enhance the intensity of the negative SASD the subsequent year.This study analyses a strong correlation between ENSO and SASD,however,further investigation is needed to determine whether ENSO have an impact on the evolution of SASD and whether different ENSO types (i.e.,East-Pacific ENSO vs.Central-Pacific ENSO) exert distinct effects on SASD development.

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王晓红,官元红,王曰朋,吴香华,李兴钰,2025.南大西洋副热带偶极子的统计特征及其与ENSO的关系[J].大气科学学报,48(2):255-266.
WANG Xiaohong, GUAN Yuanhong, WANG Yuepeng, WU Xianghua, LI Xingyu,2025. Statistical characteristics of the South Atlantic Subtropical Dipole and its relationship with ENSO events[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,48(2):255-266. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20240107002

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  • 收稿日期:2024-01-07
  • 最后修改日期:2024-03-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-25
  • 出版日期: 2025-03-28

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