基于多源融合数据评估2014—2018年中国地表大气臭氧污染变化及其健康影响
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(41975162)


Assessment of surface ozone pollution change and its health effect in China from 2014 to 2018 based on multi-source fusion data
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    基于中国环境空气质量监测站观测数据、区域空气质量模式(CMAQ)模拟数据和卫星反演数据,利用数据融合方法获得了2014、2018年地表大气O3质量浓度水平变化及其空间分布,通过空气污染控制健康效益评估工具(BenMAP-CE)评估了2014、2018年中国O3导致的过早死亡人数。结果表明:2018年中国O3日8 h最大(O3-MDA8)质量浓度年均值为98.0 μg/m3,较2014年的87.9 μg/m3增长了11.5%,其中安徽省、山西省和山东省的O3-MDA8质量浓度增加最为明显;2014和2018年O3相关过早死亡人数分别为17.4万和26.7万,过早死亡人数增长率约为57%;中国9个区域中的中部区域O3质量浓度和O3相关过早死亡人数较其他几个区域增长最多,并且人口密度为1 000人/km2左右的区域过早死亡人数增加最多;河南省、河北省和四川省的O3相关过早死亡增加人数比其他省份多;近年来中国地表大气O3的健康危害的增加程度远大于O3质量浓度的增加程度,应尽快加强对O3污染的控制。

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    Surface ozone(O3) pollution poses a very serious threat to human health.O3 pollution in China has been deteriorating since 2013.To evaluate the O3 pollution change and its health effect in China from 2014 to 2018, this paperutilized a novel data fusion method that combinedsurface monitoring observations, air quality model predictionsand satellite retrieval data to obtain the mass concentration and spatial distributionof surface O3, and then used the Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program-Community Edition (BenMAP-CE) model to estimate the number of O3-related premature mortality in China in 2014 and 2018.Results show that the annual average value of the maximum daily 8-hour average O3(O3-MDA8) mass concentration in 2018 (98.0 μg/m3) increases by 11.5%, compared to that in 2014 (87.9 μg/m3), among which O3-MDA8 mass concentration increases most significantly in Anhui, Shanxi and Shandong Provinces.The number of O3-related premature mortality in 2014 and 2018 is 174 000 and 267 000 respectively, and the growth rate of premature mortality numberis about 57%.Among the nine regions in China, Central China has the largest increase in O3 mass concentration and O3-related premature mortalitynumber compared with the other regions, and the regions with population density of about 1 000 people/km2 have the largest increase in premature mortality number.The number of O3-related premature mortality increases more in Henan, Hebei and Sichuan Provinces than in other provinces.In recent years, the increase of health hazards of surface atmospheric O3 in China is much greater than that of O3 mass concentration.The control of O3 pollution should be strengthened as soon as possible.

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王莼璐,王毅一,史之浩,孙金金,龚康佳,胡建林,2021.基于多源融合数据评估2014—2018年中国地表大气臭氧污染变化及其健康影响[J].大气科学学报,44(5):737-745.
WANG Chunlu, WANG Yiyi, SHI Zhihao, SUN Jinjin, GONG Kangjia, HU Jianlin,2021. Assessment of surface ozone pollution change and its health effect in China from 2014 to 2018 based on multi-source fusion data[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,44(5):737-745. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20210206001

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  • 收稿日期:2021-02-06
  • 最后修改日期:2021-04-30
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-11-09
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