1948—2000年ENSO事件与全球陆地年降水量的关系
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国家自然科学基金项目(40275028)


Relation between ENSO and Global Land Precipitation in 1948—2000
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    摘要:

    用最新创建的全球陆地月降水资料(PREC/L),研究了1948—2000年期间的ENSO事件与全球陆地年降水量的关系。对合成分析的结果进行了蒙特卡罗模拟检验。结果表明,暖事件年全球陆地年降水量大范围减少。显著地区是:赤道西太平洋区、中国华北、赤道中美洲区、孟加拉湾北部及尼泊尔、东澳大利亚区、印度西部及巴基斯坦南部、勒拿河以东地区、西欧及南极的威尔克斯等区域。在暖事件年,陆地年降水量增加地区不多,主要是南美的智利和阿根廷、东非索马里、肯尼亚和坦桑尼亚、中东的土耳其、伊拉克及伊朗、北非的利比亚和阿尔及利亚、西南非的纳米比亚及非洲南部的博茨瓦纳和津巴布韦。统计检验表明,暖事件年全球陆地年降水量减少面积比降水量增加面积要大,而且更为显著。研究还指出,ENSO的年代际变化对上述地区降水的年代际变化影响不明显。但是,80年代以后的暖事件对东澳大利亚干旱、中国华北干旱的影响比80年代前的影响要大。

    Abstract:

    Investigated is the relationship between ENSO events and global land annual precipitation in 1948—2000 with the latest global land monthly precipitation data(PREC/L),with Monte Carlo scheme used to test the results of composite analysis.It is found that global land annual precipitation reduced obviously in warm events in those areas such as equatorial Western Pacific,North China,equatorial Central America,north of Bengal Gulf and Nepal,Eastern Australia,west of India and south of Pakistan,east of Lena River and Western Europe and Wilks in Antarctic.In warm years,the areas with more land annual precipitation cover only Chile and Argentina of South American,Somali,Kenya and Tanzania in East Africa,Turkey,Iraq and Iran in Middle East,Libya and Algeria in North Africa,Namibia in Southwest Africa and Botswana and Zimbabwe in south of Africa.It is also found by the statistical test that the coverage of areas with less annual land precipitation during warm events is larger than those with more rainfall and that the change in rainfall is more remarkable.There are no evidences to show that the interdecadal variation in ENSO has significant impacts on the interdecadal variation in rainfall over the above mentioned areas.However,the influence of warm events after 1980’s on the drought in Eastern Australia and North China is more notable than which before 1980’s.

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夏冬冬,施能,陈绿文,2003.1948—2000年ENSO事件与全球陆地年降水量的关系[J].大气科学学报,26(3):333-340.
XIA Dong-dong, SHI Neng, CHEN Lu-wen,2003. Relation between ENSO and Global Land Precipitation in 1948—2000[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,26(3):333-340.

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  • 收稿日期:2002-07-11
  • 最后修改日期:2002-10-20
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