微物理方案及其参数对EnSRF资料同化的影响研究
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目(2013CB430102);中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所开放基金(IHR2008K01);2012年江苏省高校研究生创新计划(CXLX12_0494)


The influence of microphysical scheme and parameters on Ensemble square-root filter data assimilation
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    利用自主构建的基于风暴尺度的WRF-EnSRF系统同化模拟多普勒雷达资料,讨论了微物理方案及其参数的不确定性对同化效果的影响。试验采用组合微物理方案以及扰动微物理方案中的参数的方法,结果表明,模式误差非常小甚至可以忽略时,使用单个微物理方案并扰动参数能够使真实风暴的主要特征在分析场中较未扰动参数得到更好地反映;存在模式误差时,使用单个微物理方案并扰动参数后,分析场中的各要素的分布较未扰动参数更加接近真实风暴,同化效果得到改进,且改进效果比模式误差非常小时更为明显;存在模式误差时,组合微物理方案并扰动参数后,分析场中对流云团的形态较未组合方案或未扰动参数更接近真实风暴,主要要素场的配置最能反映真实风暴的特征,同化效果最为理想。结果也表明,扰动参数时、参数扰动范围较小时,同化效果较优。

    Abstract:

    The ensemble square-root filter (EnSRF) is a kind of deterministic ensemble-based data assimilation method,and is used in a growing number of research fields and applications.Ensemble methods,compared with variational methods,require little expert knowledge for the development of tangent linear and adjoint versions of models and forward observation operators,the background-error covariances are flow dependent,and they can be combined with the ensemble forecast.At the same time,EnSRF based on the traditional ensemble Kalman filter update equation,ameliorates the impacts of sampling errors introduced by adding random perturbations to the observations.Furthermore,the computational cost of the method is relatively lower compared with that of other deterministic ensemble methods;plus,EnSRF is easy to code and implement.Because of these advantages,EnSRF has become a hot topic in research and applications related to data assimilation.Owing to its high temporal and spatial resolution,Doppler weather radar has become the most effective method in monitoring and providing warnings for severe convective weather.The assimilation of Doppler radar data is therefore important for the improvement of storm-scale numerical weather prediction.To retrieve dynamically consistent wind,thermodynamic and microphysical fields from radar radial velocity and reflectivity,advanced data assimilation methods are required.According to operational needs,a WRF-EnSRF system for storm-scale assimilation was constructed in previous work.The study involved developing key assimilation techniques of the WRF-EnSRF system,and introduced adaptive localization and adaptive covariance inflation error correction algorithms to help filters to tolerate errors from many sources,including sampling errors,model errors and fundamental inconsistencies between the filter assumptions and reality,which lead to insufficient variance in ensemble state estimates.During the ideal storm tests,the results showed the characteristics and a good performance level of the adaptive algorithms developed,and a better assimilation scheme was obtained.During the real tests of assimilating Doppler radar data,the adaptive localization and adaptive covariance inflation introduced demonstrated it was possible to take into consideration many complex factors of influence.In the present study,based on the assumption that a multi-scheme ensemble forecast that combines different microphysical parameterization schemes may significantly improve the performance of EnKF,as opposed to using a single scheme,the WRF-EnSRF system is examined to assimilate the simulated radar data of a typical super storm that occurred on 20 May 1977 in Oklahoma city,USA.Based on the self-developed WRF-EnSRF data assimilation system,this study assimilates the simulated Doppler radar data and discusses the impact of microphysical schemes and the uncertainty of their parameters on the performance of EnSRF data assimilation,and uses the improved scheme in a series of comparison tests involving the assimilation of simulated radar data.Different mixes of microphysical schemes and perturbations of microphysical parameters are involved in the experiments.The overall goal of the research was to develop an EnSRF data assimilation system and to investigate its ability in radar data assimilation for storm-scale numerical weather prediction.The results show that,in the absence of model error,using a single microphysical scheme with its parameters perturbed,retreives the main features of the storm better than without the perturbed parameters.This difference,especially for the spatial distribution of most variables in the analysis,becomes more significant in the presence of model error.In this case,synchronouly involving a mix of microphysical schemes and the perturbation of their parameters produces convective clouds in the analysis that are better than without any one of these two approaches.With both approaches,data assimilation produces the best result among all the experiments with model errors;the main features of the storm are reasonably retrieved.Meanwhile,results also show that the range of parameter perturbation has to be small enough to produce an optimal analysis.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

闵锦忠,尤悦,高士博,陈耀登,杨春,2016.微物理方案及其参数对EnSRF资料同化的影响研究[J].大气科学学报,39(4):510-524. MIN Jinzhong, YOU Yue, GAO Shibo, CHEN Yaodeng, YANG Chun,2016. The influence of microphysical scheme and parameters on Ensemble square-root filter data assimilation[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,39(4):510-524. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20140510001

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-10
  • 最后修改日期:2014-09-23
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2016-08-01
  • 出版日期:

地址:江苏南京宁六路219号南京信息工程大学    邮编:210044

联系电话:025-58731158    E-mail:xbbjb@nuist.edu.cn    QQ交流群号:344646895

大气科学学报 ® 2024 版权所有  技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司