热带太平洋低层环流主模态与东亚大气环流的可能联系
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(41475088);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY20120616;GYHY20130628);江苏省高校自然科学研究项目(13KJB170013);江苏省青蓝工程


The possible association between the leading modes of low-level circulation anomalies over the tropical Pacific and the atmospheric circulation over East Asia
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    摘要:

    利用1958-2001年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,探讨了热带太平洋(100°E~60°W,10°S~10°N)10m风场的时空变化特征及其与东亚大气环流的可能联系。结果表明:1)热带太平洋风场异常存在两种主模态,第一模态对应中西太平洋一致的西(东)风异常,关于赤道呈准对称分布,与ENSO(El Niño-Southern Oscillation)暖(冷)位相时风场的分布对应;第二模态则关于赤道呈反对称分布,西北太平洋存在显著的反气旋(气旋)式环流,中太平洋异常西风不再位于赤道上,而是南移到了10°S左右,对应ENSO暖(冷)位相向相反位相转换时的风场分布特征。2)两模态时间系数的主振荡周期不同,与ENSO循环的位相关系也不同。研究发现,当两模态呈正(负)位相分布时,贝加尔湖南侧(South to Lake Baikal,SLB)容易发生持续的高压(低压)异常环流。3)两模态与SLB异常环流的联系途径不同。第一模态正位相对应热带中东太平洋大范围暖海温引起的二极型Walker环流异常,SLB异常高压不仅能通过东亚沿岸北风和南海低槽的作用促进第一模态的前期发展,还对其后期维持起重要作用。负位相时,情况相反。该环流系统既与热带中东太平洋大范围垂直运动有关,还与邻近的中国东南沿海低层异常辐合有关;第二模态则对应热带西太平洋及东印度洋为主、大西洋为辅的暖海温引起的热带四极型Walker环流异常。此时热带西太平洋到东印度洋局地偏强的经圈Hadley环流可能是SLB异常环流维持的主要原因。

    Abstract:

    Based on the methods of multivariate EOF(MVE-OF) and lead-lag correlation and regression analysis,the spatiotemporal variations of the 10 m horizontal wind over the tropical Pacific(10°S-10°N,100°E-60°W) and their associations with East Asian atmospheric circulation were investigated using the monthly global NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data for the period 1958 to 2001. The MV-EOF results show that there are two leading modes of the 10 m horizontal wind anomalies over the tropical Pacific.The first leading mode captures the well-known wind anomaly pattern associated with El Niño(La Niña),and is also characterized by the equatorially quasi-symmetric westerly(easterly) wind anomalies over the central Pacific and convergence(divergence) onto the equator in the east.The corresponding PC time series(PC1) is highly correlated(R=0.74) with the time series of the Niño3.4 index,suggesting that PC1 captures the main ENSO mode and that the mode corresponds to the low-level horizontal wind anomalies during the warm(cold) phase of ENSO.The second leading mode,however,is highly antisymmetric about the equator and exhibits a pattern of easterly(westerly) anomalies north of the equator and westerly(easterly) anomalies south of the equator,along with a strong low-level anticyclonic(cyclonic) circulation anomaly over the western North Pacific.The westerly(easterly) anomalies south of the equator,at about 10°S,in the central Pacific,correspond to the southward displacement of zonal wind anomalies during the decaying spring season of El Niño(La Niña),which is in accordance with the wind anomalies during the transition phase of ENSO.The corresponding PC2 usually emerges rapidly several months after the PC1 peak.The two corresponding time series both feature significant interannual varibility and seasonal phase-locking characteristics,but their dominant oscillation periods and relationships with the ENSO cycle vary prominently. The lead-lag regression analysis reveals that persistent significant anomalous positive(negative) geopotential height at 500 hPa and remarkable anticyclonic(cyclonic) atmospheric circulations at 850 hPa are set up to the south of Lake Baikal(SLB) when the two leading modes are in their positive(negative) phases.Further examination of the corresponding velocity potential quantities show that the connection pathways between the two modes and the anomalous SLB circulations differ from one another.The first mode,which is characterized by abnormal dipole Walker Circulation forced by the warm water in the eastern tropical Pacific,may be affected by the anomalous SLB circulation through the northerly winds over the East Asian coast and the South China Sea trough during its developing period.In addition,the anomalous SLB circulation also plays an important role in the maintenance of the mode after it matures.The circulation is linked with large-scale vertical motion over the central eastern tropical Pacific,and also the abnormal convergence motion over Southeast China.The opposite situation occurs when the first mode is in its negative phase.The second mode features abnormal quadrupole Walker Circulation forced by the warm water over the regions from the eastern tropical Indian Ocean to the western tropical Pacific,as well as the Atlantic Ocean.Thus the corresponding anomalous SLB circulation may be mainly related to the strong meridional Hadley Circulation over the the region from the eastern tropical Indian Ocean to the western tropical Pacific,and vice versa.

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谭桂容,耿新,卢明,2016.热带太平洋低层环流主模态与东亚大气环流的可能联系[J].大气科学学报,39(2):145-155. TAN Guirong, GENG Xin, LU Ming,2016. The possible association between the leading modes of low-level circulation anomalies over the tropical Pacific and the atmospheric circulation over East Asia[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,39(2):145-155. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20140514001

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  • 收稿日期:2014-05-14
  • 最后修改日期:2015-03-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-05-04
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