中国东部531 a夏季旱涝型的划分
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(40775059);江苏省高校自然科学基础研究面上项目(07KJB170067);国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(40331010)


Classification of 531-Year Drought/Flood Type in Eastern China
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    摘要:

    选取中国东部38站531 a(1470-2000年)旱涝等级资料,利用EOF展开得到3种基本旱涝型:黄河、长江流域一致型(Ⅰ型),黄河、长江流域相反型(Ⅱ型),黄河、江淮、华南旱涝相间型(Ⅲ型),进而根据各型正负位相给出了6种主要旱涝型的定义。鉴于单个指标存在难以准确刻画旱涝分布的局限性,采用3种指标相结合的方法,依据最突出特征原则对逐年旱涝分布进行定型,从而得到了新的中国东部夏季旱涝型年表。将6种中国东部夏季旱涝型的年代频次变化与EOF分析的时间系数进行比较,二者变化的一致性在一定程度上验证分型结果基本合理。

    Abstract:

    Based on 531-yr(1470-2000) drought/flood level data of 38 stations in eastern China,the EOF analysis is used to achieve three primary drought/flood types:Huanghe-Changjiang homogeneous anomaly pattern(Pattern Ⅰ),Huanghe-Changjiang contrary anomaly pattern(Pattern Ⅱ),and Huanghe-Jianghuai-South China alternate anomaly pattern(Pattern Ⅲ).Then six summer drought/flood patterns in eastern China are defined according to the positive and negative phases of above three patterns.In view of the instance that a single index can not depict the drought/flood anomaly distribution accurately,this paper utilizes combined three-index to compartmentalize annual drought/flood pattern in term of the most noticeable feature,and then presents a new table of 531-yr summer drought/flood pattern in eastern China.Finally,a comparison is made between the decadal frequencies of six drought/flood patterns and the EOF time coefficients,showing that they have preferably coherence,which verifies that,to a certain extent,compartmentalization is reasonable on the whole.

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刘向文,孙照渤,倪东鸿,曾刚,2008.中国东部531 a夏季旱涝型的划分[J].大气科学学报,31(5):679-686. LIU Xiang-wen, SUN Zhao-bo, NI Dong-hong, ZENG Gang,2008. Classification of 531-Year Drought/Flood Type in Eastern China[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,31(5):679-686.

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  • 收稿日期:2007-05-31
  • 最后修改日期:2007-12-26
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