The development and consideration of typhoon forecast operation of National Meteorological Center
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    Abstract:

    With the continuous progress and improvement of numerical prediction technology and comprehensive detection system,the typhoon operational prediction of the Central Meteorological Center has made remarkable progress in the past decade,especially the operational prediction level of typhoon track,which has basically reached the international advanced level,but the progress in the prediction of typhoon intensity,wind and rain impact and typhoon risk assessment is relatively slow.This paper reviews the severity of typhoon disaster in China,the importance of Typhoon Forecast in the Central Meteorological Center,the development of Typhoon Forecast of CMC,the role of typhoon forecaster in CMC,the proposal and solution of major scientific problems in typhoon operation,and the promotion and guidance of major scientific research projects for typhoon operation in CMC.Some effective ways to improve the operational typhoon forecast ability in the future are put forward.

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李泽椿,张玲,钱奇峰,麻素红,徐晶,代刊,谌芸,王月冬,2020.中央气象台台风预报业务的发展及思考[J].大气科学学报,43(1):10-19.
LI Zechun, ZHANG Ling, QIAN Qifeng, MA Suhong, XU Jing, DAI Kan, CHEN Yun, WANG Yuedong,2020. The development and consideration of typhoon forecast operation of National Meteorological Center[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,43(1):10-19. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20200110015

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History
  • Received:January 10,2020
  • Revised:January 20,2020
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  • Online: April 30,2020
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