西风和印度季风协同作用对塔里木盆地极端暴雨影响的初步分析
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国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(42030612);第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究项目(2019QZKK0102);2023年新疆气象局创新发展面上项目(MS202301)


Preliminary analysis of the synergistic influence of westerly wind and indian monsoon on rainstorm over Tarim Basin
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    摘要:

    针对2021年6月14—17日塔里木盆地极端暴雨过程(最大日雨量106.6 mm,新疆特大暴雨),选取盆地自动气象站降水资料、GRAPES-GFS分析场和ERA5(0.25°;×;0.25°;、逐1 h)再分析资料,利用WRF-v4.2.2模式数值模拟和HYSPLIT-v4.0水汽后向轨迹模式,分析此次暴雨在“东高西低”环流背景和“两高夹一低”形势下西风和印度季风协同作用机制。水汽源于黑海-里海-咸海、印度洋北部、中亚地区和北疆,偏西、偏南和偏东3条路径水汽输送发生在850~300 hPa、500~400 hPa和650 hPa以下低层。印度季风环流对印度洋水汽向塔里木盆地输送起关键作用,阐明了印度季风携印度洋水汽北上流入盆地的物理过程,“南风窗”水汽输送消失是西风和印度季风协同作用的重要体现。

    Abstract:

    During June 14th—17th, 2021, an extreme rainstorm process with a daily maximum of 106.6 mm occurred over the Tarim Basin. This study analyzes the synergistic mechanism between the westerly wind and Indian monsoon on this rainstorm process using precipitation data from an automatic meteorological station in the basin, the GRAPES-GFS analysis field, and ERA-5 (0.25° × 0.25° , hourly) reanalysis data, as well as the WRF-v4.2. 2 numerical simulation model and the HYSPLIT-v4.0 water vapor backward trajectory model. Under the circulation background of “high geopotential height on the east side and low on the west side” at 100 hPa and “one low trough between two high-pressure ridges” at 500 hPa, water vapor is transported from Black Sea, Caspian Sea, Salt Lake, northern Indian Ocean, Central Asia and northern Xinjiang, corresponding to westerly, southerly, and easterly water vapor tracks, each transported along 850—300 hPa, 500—400 hPa, and below 650 hPa. The Indian monsoon circulation plays a key role in transporting water vapor from the Indian Ocean to the Tarim Basin, elucidating the physical process of the southward movement of the Indian monsoon carrying water vapor into the basin. The disappearance of the “south wind window” water vapor transport is an important manifestation of the synergistic influence of westerly winds and the Indian monsoon.

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张俊兰,李火青,汤浩,2023.西风和印度季风协同作用对塔里木盆地极端暴雨影响的初步分析[J].大气科学学报,46(2):242-258. ZHANG Junlan, LI Huoqing, TANG Hao,2023. Preliminary analysis of the synergistic influence of westerly wind and indian monsoon on rainstorm over Tarim Basin[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,46(2):242-258. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20220113001

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-13
  • 最后修改日期:2023-05-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-19
  • 出版日期: 2023-03-28

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