北太平洋冬季次表层热状况及其与中国东部夏季气候的关系
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国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(40331010)


Winter Subsurface Layer Thermal State Character of the North Pacific and Its Relationship with the Summer Climate in the East of China
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    摘要:

    利用北太平洋次表层海温及热容量资料和我国160个台站1951-2002年夏季(6-8月)降水、气温资料,分析了北太平洋冬季次表层热状况的特征,研究了中国区域气候与热容量变化之间的关系,并用SVD方法研究了北太平洋热容量变化与中国东部夏季气候的耦合关系。结果表明:北太平洋冬季次表层海温按其特征可分为40m和240m两类,两者的年代际特征都很明显;北太平洋冬季热容量异常变化与其相似,并与中国东部夏季气候异常有较好的耦合关系,北太平洋中部偏北和东南部地区冬季热容量异常偏高时,中国华南和华北区夏季降水将会偏多,华南区夏季气温将会偏低;黑潮延续体及北太平洋中部偏东地区冬季热容量异常偏高和北美西海岸地区异常偏低时,中国东北和长江流域地区夏季降水将会偏少,东北和华北地区夏季气温将会偏低,其关系有着明显的年代际特征。

    Abstract:

    Using the subsurface temperature and thermal capacity data in the North Pacific and the summer precipitation and air temperature data at 160 stations of China from 1951-2002,we analyze the characteristics of the upper-ocean thermal state of the North Pacific in winter,and study the relationship between the thermal capacity and the summer climate in China,then discuss the coupling relationship between the thermal capacity in the North Pacific in winter and the summer climate in the east of China by SVD expansion.The outcome shows that according to the EOF expansions of sea temperperatures at 11 levels within the subsurace layer,the temperature of the winter upper-ocean in the North Pacific can be classified into two types of 40m and 240m depth,and both have obvious decadal characteristic.The anomalies of the winter thermal capacity in the North Pacific are similar to those,and have fairly good coupling relationship with the following summer climate anomalies in the east of China.When winter thermal capacity is higher than normal in the north and the south-east of the North Pacific,the following summer precipitation will be more in South China and North China while the summer temperature will be lower in South China;when winter thermal capacity is higher in the Kuroshio extension and the east of the North Pacific and lower in the west coast of North America,the following summer precipitation will be less in the Yangtze River valley and Northeast China,and the summer temperature will be lower in Northeast China and North China.Both of the coupling relationships of the precipitation and air temperature with the preceding winter thermal capacity have obvious characteristic of decadal time scale.

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祁丽燕,孙照渤,李忠贤,2007.北太平洋冬季次表层热状况及其与中国东部夏季气候的关系[J].大气科学学报,30(2):153-161.
QI Li-yan, SUN Zhao-bo, LI Zhong-xian,2007. Winter Subsurface Layer Thermal State Character of the North Pacific and Its Relationship with the Summer Climate in the East of China[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,30(2):153-161.

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  • 收稿日期:2005-11-17
  • 最后修改日期:2006-04-11
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