我国东部夏季极端降水与北太平洋海温的遥相关研究
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黄淮流域气象灾害监测预测技术方法研究项目


The Teleconnection between Summer Extreme Precipitation over East China and North Pacific SST
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    摘要:

    采用1951-1998年我国东部(105°E以东)59个站点夏季大雨及以上降水量资料与北太平洋海温场资料,借助于SVD分析方法,逐季分析我国东部极端降水与北太平洋海温及南方涛动指数的遥相关,进而检测影响我国东部地区极端降水空间分布的海温关键区和南方涛动及其显著季节(月份)。结果表明,我国东部夏季极端降水与同期太平洋SST的遥相关主要在太平洋130~170°E,5~25°N之间海域;Ni-no区域SST与次年夏季极端降水的相关主要表现在与华东地区的正相关;黑潮海域及加利福尼亚海流区春季SST与我国东部夏季极端降水呈明显的负相关;冬季太平洋SST与我国东部夏季极端降水的遥相关主要表现在,赤道东太平洋、黑潮海域的冬季海温与华东地区、河套地区降水的正相关;我国东部夏季极端降水与前一年秋季Nino区海温为负相关,与西太平洋海温为正相关。

    Abstract:

    With the data of the summer precipitation of torrential rain at 59 stations in east China,the North Pacific SST from 1951 to 1998 and the method of Singular Value Decomposition (SVD),this work analyzes season by season the teleconnection of summer extreme precipitation in east China with North Pacific SST and Southern Oscillation Index (ISO),so as to examine the North Pacific SST key area and seasons (or months) of ISO which are significantly correlated with the spatial distribution of extreme precipitation of East China.Results show that the spatial distribution of summer extreme precipitation in East China is significantly correlated with the same season SST in the sea area of 130~170°E,5~25°N;while the Nino area SST is distincively correlated with the next summer extreme precipitation in East China.The spring SST in the Black Current area and California current area is negatively correlated with summer extreme precipitation in East China.The winter SST in the equatorial East Pacific and Black Current area is positively teleconnected with the summer extreme precipitation in East China and in the Hetao area.The summer extreme precipitation in East China is negatively correlated with the previous autumn SST in the Nino area,while positively with that in the Western Pacific.

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张永领,丁裕国,2004.我国东部夏季极端降水与北太平洋海温的遥相关研究[J].大气科学学报,27(2):244-252.
ZHANG Yong-ling, DING Yu-guo,2004. The Teleconnection between Summer Extreme Precipitation over East China and North Pacific SST[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,27(2):244-252.

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  • 收稿日期:2002-12-25
  • 最后修改日期:2003-06-05
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