站网均匀化订正前后中国气温年际异常场相似性分析
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国家自然科学基金重点项目(41330425);国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目(2015CB453202);公益性(气象)行业专项(GYHY201406024);江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)


Similarity analyses of China's interannual anomalous air temperature fields before and after network homogeneity adjustments
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    摘要:

    基于王盘兴等(2011)提出的站网均匀化订正方案,给出一种新的相似系数计算方法,依据两种选择相似个例的方案,研究了中国160站1951-2010年四季气温异常型的年际异常相似特征。结果表明:1)依据方案一,如果一对个例年的气温异常场在东部地区比较相似、西部地区不太相似,则订正前全国整体的相似系数较大、订正后整体的相似系数明显减小;反之,东部地区不太相似、西部地区比较相似,那么订正前全国整体的相似系数较小、订正后整体的相似系数增大。2)依据方案二,如果一对个例年订正前气温异常场相似系数非常大,则该对个例年在东部地区形势非常相似,站网均匀化订正后气温异常场的相似系数明显减小。如果一对个例年订正后气温异常场相似系数非常大,则这对个例年在西部地区的分布形势非常相似。方案一、二均可以说明,站网均匀化订正使东部地区的台站在全国平均中的权重减小、西部地区的台站在全国平均中的权重增加,从而可以更客观地反映气温异常型的年际相似程度。

    Abstract:

    The previous studies regarding types of temperature changes have been mainly related to the concept of the coefficient of similarity.During the computing of the coefficients of similarity in the past,the area weight of all the sites was thought to be equal,and the information obtained from the sites was believed to be uniformly distributed in the space domain.The grid and site climate data were found to generally meet the requirements of temporal uniformity.However,the data were notable to strictly meet the requirements of spatial uniformity (for example,the area represented by a single grid or site was different),which may have led to distortions in the statistical results involving the spatial regions.Therefore,in order to analyze the temperature variation similarities,the key was to process the network density in homogeneity.In this study,based on a scheme of network homogeneity correction proposed by Wang Panxing,a new calculation method for the coefficient of similarity was presented.This new method considered the weight of each area of a site.Therefore,the coefficients of similarity were determined to be more accurate.
    Two schemes were used in this study to choose similar cases.The first scheme was as follows:1)Two fields were found to be similar before the correction.However,they were observed to be not similar or reversed after the correction.Alternatively,two fields were not similar or opposite before the correction,but were found to be similar after the correction;2)The absolute values of the differences between the coefficients of similarity before and after the correction tended to be the maximum.
    The second scheme used in this study was as follows:1)The first condition was the same as 1)in the first scheme;2)The coefficients of similarity before and after the correction tended to be the maximum.
    Also,according to the aforementioned two schemes for selecting similar cases which were utilized in this study,the inter-annual similarity features of the air temperature anomalies at 160 stations in China during the four seasons ranging from 1951 to 2010 were examined.The results showed the following:1)According to the first scheme,if a pair of air temperature anomalous fields were more similar in the eastern region,and less similar in the western part,then the adjusted national similarity coefficient was observed to be significantly reduced.Otherwise,if a pair of air temperature anomaly deviation fields were less similar in the eastern region,and more similar in the western part,then the adjusted national similarity coefficient was found to be significantly increased;2)According to the second scheme,if the coefficient of similarity of a pair of air temperature anomalous fields was significantly larger before the correction,then the pair of fields were observed to be very similar in the eastern region,and the adjusted national coefficient of similarity was significantly reduced.Otherwise,if the coefficient of similarity of a pair of air temperature anomalous fields was significantly larger after the correction,then these two anomalous fields were definitely very similar in the western region,and the adjusted national similarity coefficient was observed to be significantly increased.The two schemes showed that the network homogeneity adjustments led to the weight of the eastern region becoming reduced,and the weight of the western region increasing in the national average,which more objectively reflected the similarity degree of the inter-annual air temperature anomaly.

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李丽平,成丽萍,王盘兴,2017.站网均匀化订正前后中国气温年际异常场相似性分析[J].大气科学学报,40(5):697-707. LI Liping, CHENG Liping, WANG Panxing,2017. Similarity analyses of China's interannual anomalous air temperature fields before and after network homogeneity adjustments[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,40(5):697-707. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20150627012

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  • 收稿日期:2015-06-27
  • 最后修改日期:2016-01-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-11-08
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