三套冰晶核化参数化方案的对比分析
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中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG实验室2016年开放课题;中国气象局2015年度留学人员科技活动择优资助项目;江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)


Sensitivity study on three ice nucleation parameterizations
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    摘要:

    基于大气模式CAM5对比分析了三套基于物理过程发展而来的冰晶核化参数化方案,包括BN方案、KL方案和CAM5自带的LP方案。针对三个方案的离线测试结果表明,由LP和BN方案计算得出的冰晶数浓度随硫酸盐溶液滴的数浓度增加而明显增加,而KL方案对硫酸盐溶液滴的数浓度不敏感;CAM5模拟结果显示,这三套方案得出的云辐射强迫、冰晶数浓度及其概率分布非常相似,基本上都接近观测。但是,使用KL方案得出的全球平均云长波辐射强迫从工业革命前到当代增加0.05 W·m-2,明显低于LP方案的0.36 W·m-2和BN方案的0.33 W·m-2;由此可见,选择哪个冰晶核化参数化方案不会明显影响模式对冰云的模拟性能,但对评估人为产生气溶胶的间接效应可能有显著影响。

    Abstract:

    The ultimate purpose of this study is to investigate the contribution of ice nucleation parameterizations to the difference in estimating anthropogenic aerosol indirect forcing.Three physically-based ice nucleation parameterizations,respectively developed by Liu and Penner(2005,hereafter LP),Barahona and Nenes(2009,hereafter BN) and Kärcher et al.(2006,hereafter KL) are analyzed in this paper.The LP parameterization is derived from fitting the simulation results of a cloud parcel with constant updraft velocities.The number of nucleated ice crystals is a function of relative humidity,temperature,aerosol number concentration and updraft velocity.The BN parameterization is derived from an approximation to the analytical solution of air parcel equations.One advantage of BN parameterization is that the heterogeneous nucleation may be described by different nucleation spectra,derived either from the classical nucleation theory,or from observations.In KL parameterization,the competition between different freezing mechanisms is treated by explicitly calculating the evolution of the water vapor saturation ratio within one host-model's time step.It is worth noting that,in this parameterization,the ice crystal number concentration produced via homogeneous freezing is not sensitive to the sulfate aerosol number concentration in most cases,except for the highest(4 m·s-1) updraft velocities.The offline experiments show that the ice crystal number concentration calculated from KL parameterization was not sensitive to sulfate aerosols number concentration in most cases,whereas the ice crystal number concentration calculated from the LP and BN parameterizations increased with the increasing sulfate aerosols number concentration.Compared to the BN and KL parameterizations,it is relatively easy for heterogeneous ice nucleation to inhibit homogeneous ice nucleation with LP parameterization.However,the ice crystal number concentration calculated from LP parameterization is usually higher than BN and KL parameterizations.Aside from the default LP parameterization in the CAM5 model,the BN and KL parameterizations were implemented in CAM5 for comparison.The occurrence frequency of homogeneous freezing from simulation with LP parameterization is less than BN and KL parameterizations.However,all of the simulations show that the occurrence frequency of homogeneous freezing is less than 0.1,which is in consistent with the observations.Furthermore,there is no remarkable difference among these three parameterizations in the ice crystal number concentration or cloud radiative forcing,and all of the simulation results show generally high agreements with cirrus cloud observations.This suggests that the model's capability to simulate cirrus clouds is not sensitive to physically-based ice nucleation parameterizations.The CAM5 experiment using the KL parameterization predicts a much smaller anthropogenic aerosol long wave indirect forcing(LWCF,0.05 W·m-2) than that using the LP(0.36 W·m-2) and BN(0.33 W·m-2) parameterizations.This indicates that ice nucleation parameterization plays an important role in estimating anthropogenic aerosol indirect forcing.Previous studies showed that the annual global mean change in LWCF from pre-industrial times to present-day estimated from the ECHAM5 model with KL parameterization was 0.05—0.20 W·m-2,which was much less than the estimate(0.40—0.52 W·m-2) given by the CAM5 model with LP parameterization.It appears that this difference can be mostly explained by ice nucleation parameterizations.

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史湘军,朱寿鹏,智协飞,杜康云,刘庆爱,王琳玮,2017.三套冰晶核化参数化方案的对比分析[J].大气科学学报,40(2):181-192. SHI Xiangjun, ZHU Shoupeng, ZHI Xiefei, DU Kangyun, Liu Qingai, WangLingwei,2017. Sensitivity study on three ice nucleation parameterizations[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,40(2):181-192. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20160914001

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  • 收稿日期:2016-09-14
  • 最后修改日期:2017-01-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-04-14
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