2015/2016年超强El Niño在成熟/衰减阶段对澳洲夏季风环流与降水异常的影响
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(41330425);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201406024);江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)


Impacts of the super El Niño event in 2015/2016 on Australian summer monsoon circulation and precipitation anomalies
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    2015/2016年发生了超强El Niño事件,Niño3区海温异常在2015/2016年冬季超过了2.5℃,其对全球气候异常的产生具有重大影响。此次El Niño事件可归类为东部型。本文利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料、Hadley中心海温资料及CMAP降水资料等,通过诊断分析,揭示了2015/2016年强El Niño事件盛期和衰减期海温异常对澳洲夏季风环流异常和降水变化的影响及其途径。澳洲地区受此次El Niño事件影响,大部分地区降水显著减少,某些地区降水减少达60%~80%。影响途径主要有:1)海温异常通过Gill型响应造成水平环流异常并进而影响澳洲夏季风减弱。2015/2016年ENSO事件成熟期及衰减期,在西太平洋赤道地区出现海温负异常,导致此处热带地区产生了负异常的热源分布,并由此激发产生了位于赤道北侧和南侧的异常反气旋式环流。位于海洋性大陆南侧的异常反气旋性环流引起澳洲夏季风减弱,从而利于抑制上升运动,造成了澳大利亚降水量显著减少;2)通过赤道中东太平洋地区上升和澳洲地区下沉的垂直环流异常导致澳洲降水显著减少。在El Niño事件盛期,因海温异常偏暖导致赤道中东太平洋地区产生显著的异常上升运动,其补偿性的下沉运动因Walker环流而出现在海洋性大陆地区,以及因澳洲大陆夏季风减弱而出现在澳大利亚中东部地区,由此构成了中东太平洋-澳洲副热带的垂直环流圈,此东北-西南向的垂直环流圈对澳洲降水减少的维持起到了重要作用。另外,中国南方的上升运动与海洋性大陆及澳洲地区的下沉运动之间通过局地经圈环流产生了联系,表明东亚冬季风异常减弱对澳洲夏季风减弱可能存在间接影响。这些结果对深刻认识超强ENSO事件对亚澳季风的影响机理以及寻找澳洲降水预测线索具有重要意义。

    Abstract:

    A super El Niño event occurred in 2015/2016.The sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the Niño3 area in the winter of 2015/2016 was over 2.5℃.This strong El Niño was an Eastern Pacific type event and had strong impacts on global climate conditions.In the present paper,by employing NCEP/NCAR reanalysis,Hadley SST and CMAP precipitation data,we examine the impacts of this El Niño event on the Australian summer monsoon circulation and precipitation anomalies from the peak phase to the decaying phase of the 2015/2016 strong El Niño event.We also examine the mechanism behind these impacts.Affected by this El Niño event,the precipitation in most areas of Australia significantly decreased,and in some areas even reduced by 60% to 80%.Two mechanisms can explain the influence of this El Niño event on Australian rainfall.The first is horizontal circulation anomaly-related.A Gill-type response of the atmosphere to the SST anomalies in the tropical region occurred,inducing horizontal circulation anomalies and hence weakening the Australian summer monsoon.Specifically,negative SST anomalies in the equatorial western Pacific during both the peak and decaying phases of the 2015/2016 strong El Niño event led to negative heat source anomalies locally,resulting in two anomalous anticyclonic circulations that were respectively situated on the northern and southern sides of the equator.The anomalous anticyclonic circulation in the region south of the Maritime Continent(MC) region weakened the Australian summer monsoon,suppressing the upward movement locally and hence reducing the rainfall over Australia.The second mechanism is vertical circulation-related.During the super El Niño event of 2015/2016,anomalous vertical circulation existed,with its upward motion branch in the equatorial eastern and central Pacific and downward branch in Australia.This anomalous vertical circulation directly bridged the gap between the central equatorial Pacific and Australia,facilitating the reduction in precipitation over Australia.During the peak phase of this El Niño event,anomalous Walker circulation was observed,with upward motion in the central equatorial Pacific due to the positive anomalies of SST,but downward motion in the MC regions.Meanwhile,another vertical circulation system was well defined in a slanted vertical plane from Australia northeastwards to the central equatorial Pacific.This was,of course,related to the weakened Australian summer monsoon.As a result,this northeast-southwest cell of vertical circulation played an important role in maintaining negative anomalies of rainfall over Australia.Moreover,the anomalous upward motion was observed in the southern part of China,which associated in a compensative manner with the downward motion in the MC regions and Australia.These anomalous vertical motions formed an anomalous vertical circulation system that meridionally connected Australia and southern China.This vertical circulation suggests a possible indirect effect of a weakened East Asian winter monsoon anomaly,as induced by this super El Niño event,on the Australian summer monsoon.All the results presented in this study will be beneficial for a better understanding of the underlying mechanisms of Australian monsoon variations in association with super ENSO events,as well as for uncovering clues to predicting Australian summer rainfall.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

陈蔚,管兆勇,2016.2015/2016年超强El Niño在成熟/衰减阶段对澳洲夏季风环流与降水异常的影响[J].大气科学学报,39(6):801-812. CHEN Wei, GUAN Zhaoyong,2016. Impacts of the super El Niño event in 2015/2016 on Australian summer monsoon circulation and precipitation anomalies[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,39(6):801-812. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20160908001

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2016-09-08
  • 最后修改日期:2016-10-11
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2016-12-27
  • 出版日期:

地址:江苏南京宁六路219号南京信息工程大学    邮编:210044

联系电话:025-58731158    E-mail:xbbjb@nuist.edu.cn    QQ交流群号:344646895

大气科学学报 ® 2024 版权所有  技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司