湖北省夏季降水日变化特征
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国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目(2012CB417204);国家自然科学基金资助项目(41375057;41375041;51379149);武汉暴雨研究所2016年基本科研业务费项目


Characteristics of summer precipitation diurnal variations in Hubei Province
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    摘要:

    利用2001-2014年湖北省77个气象观测站的整点逐时降水数据,通过划分不同区域和三种量级降水的方法,分析了夏季(6-8月)降水日变化特征。结果表明:1)湖北省夏季降水日变化特征非常明显,降水量曲线呈双峰结构,峰值出现在08时和17时(北京时间,下同),降水频次与降水强度均呈现 “一主一次”的双峰结构,这主要与青藏高原东移来的天气系统自西向东的滞后性以及局地热力强迫有关,发生在傍晚(15-18时)的降水强度有明显的年际增强趋势。2)湖北省降水日变化特征区域差异显著,鄂西北与鄂西南降水峰值主要出现在傍晚和夜间,谷值出现在正午,鄂东三个区域的降水峰值出现在上午和傍晚,谷值出现在午夜。3)近14 a 强度为0~20 mm/h的降水呈现减少趋势,主要发生在鄂西地区。其日变化曲线为“一主一次”的双峰结构,主(次)峰值出现在07(17)时。与之相反,短时强降水(≥20 mm/h)的发生概率东部大于西部,平原大于山区,有增加趋势的站点占总站点数的53.24%,峰(谷)值出现在17(12)时。短时特大强降水(≥50 mm/h)峰值出现在15-20时,03-14时出现概率较低。

    Abstract:

    Diurnal variations of precipitation are caused jointly by different thermal and dynamic forcings on the surface.The mechanisms and characteristics involved are extraordinarily complex.This paper,based on hourly rain-gauge data from 77 stations in Hubei Province,for the period 2001-2014,provided by Hubei Meteorological Information and Technical Support Center,analyzes the diurnal variation characteristics of precipitation in summer (June-August) in Hubei Province by dividingit into five different regions (Northwest Hubei,Southeast Hubei,Jianghan Plain,Northeast Hubei and Southeast Hubei),and dividing the precipitation into three levels (0-20 mmh-1,≥20 mmh-1,and ≥50 mmh-1).The diurnal variation characteristics of summer precipitation in Hubei Province are highly remarkable.The diurnal variation curve of precipitation is of double-peak structure,showing characteristics of semi-diurnal circulation.The peaks of precipitation occur at 0800 and 1700 BST,respectively,and the precipitation levels in the two time periods are the same.The valley values occur at 1200 and 2300 BST.The diurnal variation curves of both precipitation frequency and intensity are of double-peak structure,with one weaker than the other.This is mainly related to eastward-moving weather systems from the Tibetan Plateau and the effects of local thermal forcing.The precipitation intensity during 1500-1800 BST shows an obvious interannual increasingtrend for the past 14 years.Regionally,the diurnal variation characteristics of precipitation in Hubei Province are noticeably distinct,with the precipitation peak or valley values in different regions occurring at different times.The primary or secondary peak of precipitation amount occurs in the evening or at midnight in Northwest Hubei;however,whilst this is also the case in Southwest Hubei,the peak amount is not subdivided into a primary or secondary value.Also,the valley values of precipitation in both areas occur at midday.Meanwhile,the primary or secondary peak of precipitation amount occurs in the morning or in the evening in Jianghan Plain,and the valley value of precipitation occurs at midnight.The situation in Northeast Hubei issimilar to that of Jianghan Plain.The diurnal variation curve in Southeast Hubei shows a smooth double-peak structure,and the primary or secondary peak value occurs in the evening or in the morning,which is opposite to that in Northeast Hubei and Jianghan Plain.The valley value of precipitation occurs at midnight.The diurnal variation curve of precipitation frequency and precipitation intensity is similar to that of precipitation amount.The most active 0-20 mm·h-1 precipitation region is the western mountain area of Hubei Province.The short duration heavy precipitation frequency in Hefeng and Xuan'en is over 13%,while the precipitation frequency in the eastern plain and hills is lower.The precipitation frequency in Jianghan Plain and Northeast Hubei is about 8%,and in Southeast Hubei it is about 10%.The trend of 0-20 mm·h-1 precipitation is a decreasing one (stations with a decreasing trend account for 67.53% of the total),andthe precipitation frequency increases mainly in western and Southeast Hubei.Opposite to the frequency distribution of 0-20 mm·h-1 precipitation,the most active regions with precipitation frequenciesof≥20 mm·h-1 and≥50 mm·h-1 are mainly in Jianghan Plain and Eastern Hubei.In general,the frequency of short-durationheavy precipitation is larger in the east than in the west,and larger in the plain than in mountain areas.Thosestations with an increasing trend of short-durationheavy precipitation account for 53.24% of total stations,increasing at 0-2.5 %· (10yr)-1.These stations are mainly distributed in Southwest Hubei,Jianghan Plain and Eastern Hubei.The diurnal variation curve of 0-20 mm·h-1 precipitation is of double-peak structure,with one weaker than the other.The primary or secondary peak value occurs in the morning or in the evening.The precipitation frequency at 1200 and 2400 BST is the lowest.The peak value of short-durationheavy precipitation (≥20 mm·h-1) occurs at 1700 BST,and the valley value occurs at 1200 BST.Short-durationcatastrophic precipitation (≥50 mm·h-1) occurs at 1500-2000 BST,and rarely occurs during 0300-1400 BST.

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林春泽,刘琳,林文才,白永清,祁海霞,杨浩,2016.湖北省夏季降水日变化特征[J].大气科学学报,39(4):490-500. LIN Chunze, LIU Lin, LIN Wencai, BAI Yongqi, QI Haixia, YANG Hao,2016. Characteristics of summer precipitation diurnal variations in Hubei Province[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,39(4):490-500. DOI:10.13878/j. cnki. dqkxxb.20160130001

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  • 收稿日期:2016-01-30
  • 最后修改日期:2016-03-16
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-08-01
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