陕西渭北中尺度对流系统组织模型及灾害分析
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国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(40537034);江苏省气象灾害重点实验室资助项目(KLME060202)


Structure Models and Disaster Analyses of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Weibei Area of Shaanxi Province
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    摘要:

    根据陕西渭北711型数字化雷达2000-2006年5-9月的观测资料,把335例中尺度对流系统(mesoscale convective systems,MCS)组织演变的模型分为3大类(单体、线状、区域型MCS)9小类(少动单体、移动单体、合并单体、拖曳层状、先导层状、平行层状、断裂线状、非嵌入区域和嵌入区域型MCS),统计了各类MCS的出现频次、日变化、生命史、水平尺度、回波移动速度等。重点结合降雹实况,分析了各类MCS的灾害差异。结果显示线状MCS的降雹概率最高,单体MCS的降雹概率最低。拖曳层状类MCS产生的灾害最为严重,少动单体MCS产生的灾害最小。

    Abstract:

    Based on the 711-digital weather radar data in Weibei area of Shaanxi Province between May and September from 2000 to 2006,335 cases of mesoscale convective systems (MCS) were classified into three categories (cell,linear and areal MCS) and nine sub-categories (slightly moving cell,moving cell,merging cell,trailing stratiform (TS),leading stratiform (LS),parallel stratiform (PS),broken linear,broken areal and embedded areal MCS).The primary characteristics including frequency,diurnal variation,duration,horizontal scale and moving speed of echo,of each category were also statistically analyzed in this paper.In particular,differences in hail disasters (hail occurrence and damage) among MCSs of different categories were analyzed.The results show that the linear MCS has a maximum probability for hails,and the cell MCS possesses a minimum probability;and the TS MCS tends to bring about severest weather disaster,and the slightly moving cell MCS produces lightest disaster.

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岳治国,牛生杰,梁谷,2008.陕西渭北中尺度对流系统组织模型及灾害分析[J].大气科学学报,31(3):395-402. YUE Zhi-guo, NIU Sheng-jie, LIANG Gu,2008. Structure Models and Disaster Analyses of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Weibei Area of Shaanxi Province[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,31(3):395-402.

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  • 收稿日期:2007-04-04
  • 最后修改日期:2007-06-24
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