北极海冰变化及其与中国秋季气温的相关分析
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国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(40331010)


Characteristics of Arctic Sea-Ice and Its Relation with Autumn Air Temperature in China
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    摘要:

    采用Hadley中心1953年1月—2003年2月逐月1°×1°海冰密集度资料和中国1951年1月—2001年2月160站逐月气温资料,对北极海冰的4个区域进行了研究,并考察了主要影响区与我国秋季气温的关系。结果表明:近50 a北极各区海冰在不同季节几乎都有显著的线性下降趋势,欧洲部分减少最快;海冰突变开始时间不同,春夏季大约在20世纪70年代、秋冬季在80年代左右;各区域海冰周期变化具有年代际特征,同时又有显著的季节差异和地域特性。主要影响区海冰与我国秋季气温的显著相关区在河套、长江中游和新疆的部分地区。不同区域海冰的显著相关时段不同,基本集中在海冰超前气温1~2 a的时间里。

    Abstract:

    Variations of Arctic sea-ice in four sectors and their ralations with autumn temperature in China are studied in this paper by use of the monthly 1°×1°sea-ice concentration data of Hadley center from January 1953 to February 2003 and the monthly temperature data at 160 stations in China.The results show that the sea-ice concentration of various seasons all exhibited a distinctive linear dencending trend in four sectors in the last 50 year,and the decrease in sea-ice concentration was fastest in the European sector in spring and summer.The beginning time of the abrupt change of the seaice concent ration for various seasons was different,it was 1970’s for spring and summer concentrations while 1980’s for fall and winter concentrations.The sea-ice concentration of various sectors displayed an interdecadal variation as well as distinctive seasonal ans regional differences.The distinctive correlation areas between the sea-ice of sector Ⅰand the autumn temperature in China lay in the Hetao area,the mid-reach of the Yangtze River and part of Xinjiang.The sea-ice in sectors Ⅰand Ⅱ were significantly correlated with the 2-year and 1-year later autumn temperature in China,respectively.

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董新宁,孙照渤,2006.北极海冰变化及其与中国秋季气温的相关分析[J].大气科学学报,29(1):82-87. DONG Xin-ning, SUN Zhao-bo,2006. Characteristics of Arctic Sea-Ice and Its Relation with Autumn Air Temperature in China[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,29(1):82-87.

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  • 收稿日期:2004-07-27
  • 最后修改日期:2005-06-03
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