近50a江淮梅雨期暴雨的区域特征
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(40233037);国家重点基础研究发展规划项目(2004CB418300)


Regional Features of the Torrential-Rain of the Meiyu Period in the Changjiang-Huaihe Region
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    摘要:

    利用江淮地区44个站1954—2003年近50 a逐日降水资料,采用模糊聚类和经验正交函数分解(EOF)方法分析了江淮梅雨期暴雨的时空变化特征。结果表明:梅雨期暴雨量存在显著的区域差异,可以分为南、北两个区;梅雨期暴雨量具有显著的候际、月际、年际和年代际变化特征,南区暴雨量峰值出现在6月第5候,北区峰值出现在6月第5候和7月第1候;南区暴雨贡献率大于北区,而北区暴雨集中率大于南区;南区暴雨量长期变化呈显著的上升趋势,而北区变化不明显;南北两区暴雨量均存在不同时间尺度的振荡周期。

    Abstract:

    On the basis of the daily precipitation of the Meiyu period at 44 stations in the Changjiang-Huaihe region from 1954 to 2003,the temporal evolution and spatial distribution characters of torrentialrain(≥50 mm/d) are investigated in terms of fuzzy cluster method and empirical orthogonal function(EOF) decomposition.Results show that the Changjiang-Huaihe region is divided into south and north area according to the prominent reginal difference of torrential-rain rainfall;there are prominent inter-pentadly,inter-monthly,inter-annual,inter-decadal variabilities in the torrential-rain rainfall of the Meiyu period;the peak value of torrential-rain rainfall appears in the fifth pentad of June in south area and in the first pentad of July and the fifth pentad of June in north area;the contribution rate of torrential-rain to the total rainfall of the Meiyu period in south area is higher than that in north area,while the concentration rate(the ratio of Meiyu torrential-rain rainfall to annual torrential-rain rainfall) in north area is higher than that in south area;the torrential-rain rainfall shows a remarkable long-term ascending trend in south area,but no evident trend in north area;there are different time scale oscillations in the torrential-rain in both south and north area.

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毛文书,王谦谦,王永忠,徐燚,2006.近50a江淮梅雨期暴雨的区域特征[J].大气科学学报,29(1):33-40. MAO Wen-shu, WANG Qian-qian, WANG Yong-zhong, XU Yi,2006. Regional Features of the Torrential-Rain of the Meiyu Period in the Changjiang-Huaihe Region[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,29(1):33-40.

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  • 收稿日期:2005-04-18
  • 最后修改日期:2005-09-25
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