祁连山区夏季总云量的气候变化与异常研究
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甘肃省政府“甘肃省人工增雨防雹作业体系工程项目”(人影2001-1-1);科技部西部开发科技行动“祁连山空中水资源开发应用研究”(2004BA901A16)


A Study of Climatic Change and Anomaly of Summer Total Cloud Cover over the Qilian Mountainous Region
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    摘要:

    利用祁连山区周围34个测站的1961—2000年6—8月总云量资料,采用EOF、REOF、谱分析等方法,分析了40 a来祁连山附近夏季总云量的空间异常特征和时间变化规律。结果表明:EOF的前3个主成分的累积方差占总方差的78%左右,可以较好地反映夏季总云量整体异常结构,即主体一致型、东南和西北变化相反型、东北和西南变化相反型。REOF的前3个主成分的累积方差占总方差的74%左右,前3个载荷向量场可以较好地代表夏季总云量的3个主要异常敏感区:祁连高原区、祁连东南区,河西走廊东部区,其相应的代表站是野牛沟、永登和民勤站。用代表站的资料分析3个异常区总云量的时间变化,其演变具有不同的趋势,但有相同的20 a和10 a周期。

    Abstract:

    Using the summer total cloud cover of 34 observational stations in June,July and August in the period of 1961—2000 in the Qilian mountainous region,the spatial anomaly features and time evolution rule of summer total amount over the 40 years were analyzed with EOF,REOF and spectral analysis method.The results show that the accumulative variance contribution of the first three EOF principal components accounted for 78% of the total variance,and the three principal components well reflected the global anomalous structure of the summer total cover,i.e.consistent principal part type,southeast-northwest opposite variation type,northeast-southwest opposite variation type,respectively.The accumutative variance of the first three REOF principal components accounted for about 74% of the total variance,and the first three loading vector fields represented the three major anomaly-sensitive areas well:the Qilian plateau region,the southeast of the Qilian mountain,and the east of the Hexi corridor,respectively,and their representative stations are Gaur ditch,Yongdeng and Minqin.The temporal evolution of the total cloud cover at the three representative stations showed different trends,but with the same 20-year and 10-year periods.

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陈少勇,董安祥,王丽萍,孙秉强,2005.祁连山区夏季总云量的气候变化与异常研究[J].大气科学学报,28(5):617-625. CHEN Shao-yong, DONG An-xiang, WANG Li-ping, SUN Bing-qiang,2005. A Study of Climatic Change and Anomaly of Summer Total Cloud Cover over the Qilian Mountainous Region[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,28(5):617-625.

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  • 收稿日期:2004-11-01
  • 最后修改日期:2005-01-10
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