江苏冬季气温的年代际变化及其背景场分析
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江苏省教育厅自然科学基金资助项目(01KJB170006);江苏省教育厅自然科学基金资助项目(01KJB170001)


Inter-decadal Variations of Winter Air Temperature in Jiangsu Province and Their Physical Background
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    摘要:

    利用1961-2000年江苏省60个台站的月平均气温资料,分析了江苏冬季(12月至次年2月)气温的异常空间分布特征;在此基础上,研究了江苏冬季气温的年代际变化及其对应的大气环流和SST异常的背景场特征;最后,初步探讨了江苏冬季气温的年代际异常与全球气温变化之间的可能联系。结果表明:(1)江苏冬季气温异常表现出整体偏冷或偏暖的趋势;(2)近40a,江苏冬季气温的异常变化具有显著的年代际变化特征,其中1961-1985年为偏冷期,而1986-1999年为偏暖期;(3)江苏冬季冷、暖期的大气环流、SSTA背景场存在显著的差异;东亚冬季风及江苏冬季气温的年代际异常与SSTA的年代际背景有着十分密切的联系。(4)在年代际尺度上,江苏冬季气温的异常变化与全球气温的异常变化具有较好的一致性,尤其是1980年代中期以来的异常升温与全球气温的明显增暖是同步的,可以认为江苏冬季气温的年代际变化主要体现为对全球增暖的响应。

    Abstract:

    By using the 40a monthly air temperature data during 1961-2000 at 60 stations in Jiangsu Province,the inter-decadal variabilities of winter (DJF) air temperature and their related backgrounds i.e. the features of the spatial distribution of atmospheric general circulation and sea surface temperature(SST) are studied.And the possible relationship between winter air temperature in Jiangsu Province and the global air temperature on the inerdecadal scale is also investigated.Results show that:1)the variations of winter air temperature at the 60 stations in Jiangsu are very consistent in space;2)In recent 40 years,the winter air temperature in Jiangsu shows,significant inter-decadal variation with the cold period in 1961-1985 and the warm period in 1986-1999;3)There are significant differences in atmospheric general circulation and SST between the cold and warm periods,and the inter-decadal variations of the winter air temperature and the East Asian winter monsoon(EAWM) are closely related to the inter-decadal background of SSTA;4)The anomaly of Jiangsu winter air temperature is inagreement with that of global air temperature on the interdecadal scale,and the evident increase in Jiangsu winter air temperature is completely consistent with the global warming.The interdecadal variation of Jiangsu winter air temperature can be regarded as the response of regional temperature to the global warming.

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陈海山,朱伟军,邓自旺,李春,2004.江苏冬季气温的年代际变化及其背景场分析[J].大气科学学报,27(4):433-442. CHEN Hai-shan, ZHU Wei-jun, DENG Zi-wang, LI Chun,2004. Inter-decadal Variations of Winter Air Temperature in Jiangsu Province and Their Physical Background[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,27(4):433-442.

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  • 收稿日期:2003-08-21
  • 最后修改日期:2004-02-17
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