上海暴雨和强对流天气的地面观测分析
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SURFACE OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN AND SEVERE CONVECTIVE WEATHER IN SHANGHAI
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    摘要:

    近年来,人们利用卫星、雷达和地面观测资料相结合的分析方法,得到了一些暴雨和强对流天气预报的经验。例如,姚祖庆、肖稳安等利用卫星云图资料概括出影响长江中下游暴雨和强对流天气的5种环境云场特征和在这些云场中暴雨和强对流云团的演变过程,通过追踪这些云团活动来作暴雨和强对流天气的预报。杜秉玉等以雷达资料为主设计了长江三峡和荆江地区暴雨预报的临近预报系统。文中利用上海地区稠密的地面观测资料,分析1983年9月3日、1985年7月11日、1983年7月26日影响上海的暴雨和龙卷天气过程中地面气象要素场和物理量场的先兆表现,期望从地面观测资料的变化特征提供暴雨和强对流天气预报的依据。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, some experiences of forecasting torrential rain and severe convective weather are acquired by comprehensive analysis of observational data from satellite,radar and ground surface. Yao Zuqing,XiaoWenan et al. predicted torrential rain and severe convective weather over the middle and lower reaches of the Changjiang River by tracking cloud cluster activities in terms of the satellite cloud pictures and summing up the features of five types of environmental cloud fields affecting the torrential rain and severe convective weather there and the evolution processes of these cloud clusters. Du Bingyu et al. designed a nowcasting system for predicting the torrential rain over the Three Gorges of the Changjiang River and the Jingjiang area by using mainly the radar data. In this paper, the signs of the weather element fields and the physical quantity fields affecting the three torrential rain and tornado weather processes occurring in Shanghai on September 3,1983,July 11,1985 and July 26,1983 are examined based on the data from the densely spaced ground observing stations in Shanghai,with a prospect of providing a sound criterion for the prediction of torrential rain and severe convective weather by analyzing the variational features of the surface observational data.

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肖稳安,周咏梅,1993.上海暴雨和强对流天气的地面观测分析[J].大气科学学报,16(1):61-66. Xiao Wenan, Zhou Yongmei,1993. SURFACE OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN AND SEVERE CONVECTIVE WEATHER IN SHANGHAI[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,16(1):61-66.

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  • 收稿日期:1991-11-12
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