浑善达克沙区近期气候变化的研究
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国家气象局气候基金


RESEARCH OF THE RECENT CLIMATIC CHANGES IN THE HUNSHANDAKE SAND REGION OF CHINA
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    摘要:

    浑善达克沙区是我国气候变化与人类活动影响较为敏感的地区。近期气候变化特征是60年代冷暖与旱涝年份交替出现,70年代气候暖湿,80年代暖干。与沙化有关的气象要素表现出明显的周期振动,周期长度为2-4年和6-8年不等。建立了年干燥度及年降水量与影响因子的统计模型。采用车比雪夫多项式方法预测该沙区1990和1991年气候分别是暖湿和暖干,与实况相符。

    Abstract:

    The Hunshandake sand region is an area very sensitive to the climatic changes related to human activities. The tendency of climatic variations revealed in this study exhibits that the cold/warm and dry/wet periods occurred alternatively during the 1960s, warm and humid periods in the 1970s, and warm and arid periods during the 1980s. There exists a significant periodical oscillation in the meteorological factors related to desertification, with its duration varying from 2-4 to 6-8 years. A statistical model is established for various factors including aridity, and annual rainfall amount.The climatic tendency in the sand region predicted for 1990 and 1991 in terms of Chebyshev polynomials,ie,warm,humid 1990 and warm,arid 1991,is consistent with what actually happened.

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孙安健,刘德松,1992.浑善达克沙区近期气候变化的研究[J].大气科学学报,15(3):414-421. Sun Anjian, Liu Desong,1992. RESEARCH OF THE RECENT CLIMATIC CHANGES IN THE HUNSHANDAKE SAND REGION OF CHINA[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,15(3):414-421.

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  • 收稿日期:1991-07-12
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