月地关系对我国东部汛期降水影响的检验
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A TEST OF THE INFLUENCE OF LUNAR-TERKESTKIAL RELATION ON PRECIPITATION DURING THE RAINY SEASON IN EAST CHINA
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    摘要:

    本文就月地关系对我国汛期降水的影响(资料包括:近500年我国东部大范围旱涝等级、近百年长江中下游梅雨、伏旱各指数和近30年江苏汛期雨量—暴雨次数)进行了一系列检验,未发现有明显的统计关系。天体引潮力变化和夏季各月北半球500毫巴高度场之间也不存在任何系统的高相关。这些说明月地关系—引潮力因素虽然对气候的长趋势振动可能具有某种弱的影响,但对汛期长期天气过程的作用是很小的,对江苏暴雨的影响也不明显,不宜作为长期预报的主要因子。

    Abstract:

    Through a series of tests, we have examined the influence oflunar-terrestrial relation on precipitation during the rainy seasonover East China.The information used includes: the degree ofdrought or flood estimated from historical events in East China inthe past 500 years, the inferred indices of Meiyu and SummerDrought over the middle-lower Yangtze Valley for the past 100years, and the precipitation amounts and frequencies of rainstormsduring the rainy season over Jiangsu Province for the recent 30years. No significant statistical relationship between these data andthe lunar-terrestrial relation has been found. Systematic high corre-lations are also lacking between the Northern Hemisphere Summercirculation on the mean monthly 500mb charts and the lunar phases.Thus, we can conclude that lunar-terrestrial relation-though itstidal force might have some influence on the long-term fluctuationof certain climatic elements-has too small an effect to be considered in long-range forecasting.

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徐群,佘丰宁,1985.月地关系对我国东部汛期降水影响的检验[J].大气科学学报,8(1):47-55. Xu Qun, She Fengning,1985. A TEST OF THE INFLUENCE OF LUNAR-TERKESTKIAL RELATION ON PRECIPITATION DURING THE RAINY SEASON IN EAST CHINA[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,8(1):47-55.

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  • 收稿日期:1984-03-19
  • 最后修改日期:1984-09-03
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